7
Lequinto
9yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 77
Ascot · Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Male Amateurs) · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Brighton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sandown | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 10-18 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |