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3yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 77

Ascot · Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Male Amateurs) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Free-going type who is much improved for Charlie Clover this season, winning for the third time at Haydock (7f) in August. Posted another good effort when third of 9 in handicap at Epsom (7f, good) 22 days ago. Can make his presence felt once more with Henry Callan up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength27%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 21/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 65 · 1m5y Std 135 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 65 par21/036OR 656 @ Ripon 16/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 64 · 1m GS 134 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Newmarket 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 62 · 1m GF 125 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 62 par26/065OR 626 @ Brighton 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 62 · 6f210y GF 132 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 61 · 7f213y GF 135 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 61 par9/076OR 615 @ Beverley 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 67 · 7f75y Goo 132 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Haydock 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 72 · 6f212y Goo 136 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 72 par8/085OR 725 @ Newmarket 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 7f GF 138 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 77 · 7f3y Goo 134 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 77 par10/094OR 77projClass-projected finish: 4th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs43rd3rd0
2026-08-15Newmarket52nd3rd−1
2026-08-08Haydock51st2nd−1
2026-07-28Beverley51st2nd−1
2026-07-09Doncaster62nd4th−2
2026-06-30Brighton61st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0330/068/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength41%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/03/20266th16/583%38%-0.46
16/04/20268th7/163%30%-0.33
26/06/20263rd8/158%67%+0.09
30/06/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
09/07/20262nd7/491%83%-0.07
28/07/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
08/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
15/08/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
10/09/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11