Signcastle City
6yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 72
Ascot · Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Male Amateurs) · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Newmarket | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newbury | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newbury | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 07/04/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 95% | +0.43 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.17 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 24/09/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.17 |