15

Who Wants Me
4yo Filly · 10-11 · OR 70
Ascot · Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Male Amateurs) · 7f
#16
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlisle | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hamilton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Catterick | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 10-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 03/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/07/2026 | 17th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 15/08/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 37% | +0.37 |