2

Zoulu Chief

5yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 80

Ascot · Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Male Amateurs) · 7f

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

A fair 6f winner in 2025. Mainly below par this season, only ninth of 12 in handicap here (5f, good to firm) 27 days ago. Takes a big step up in trip now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Goodwood 23/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 82 · 7f Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 82 par23/082OR 822 @ Newmarket 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 82 · 7f GF 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 82 par4 @ Wolverhampton 03/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 83 · 6f20y Std 133 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 83 par3/114OR 833 @ Lingfield 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 90 · 6f1y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 90 par2 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 90 · 6f Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 90 par25/042OR 903 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 89 · 6f12y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 89 par4 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 87 · 6f Gd 142 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 87 par22/084OR 874 @ Sandown 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 85 · 5f10y GS 138 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 85 par2 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 83 · 5f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 83 par5/092OR 83projClass-projected finish: 16th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot29th7th+2
2026-08-29Sandown48th8th0
2026-08-22Newmarket49th9th0
2026-05-11Windsor39th8th+1
2026-04-25Leicester210th8th+2
2026-01-17Lingfield33rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0817/0122/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 14-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20253rd8/158%82%+0.24
27/09/20252nd18/15%92%+0.86
03/11/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
17/01/20263rd2/189%67%-0.23
25/04/202610th5/174%25%-0.49
11/05/20269th5/174%0%-0.74
22/08/20269th28/10%33%+0.33
29/08/20268th5/174%0%-0.74
05/09/20269th22/10%27%+0.27