1

Concurrent

2yo Filly · 9-2

Ascot · BetMGM EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made plenty of appeal on paper and showed ability amidst inexperience when fifth of 8 in maiden at Salisbury on debut in September. One to note with yard's runners often learning plenty from their first outing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f213y Goo 1283/092
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Salisbury25th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20265th6/168%43%-0.26