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Cockade

3yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 90

Ascot · Colliers Business Rates Experts Classified Stakes (Str) · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

From an excellent family that connections know well. Confirmed the promise of his strong debut form when winning on reappearance at Windsor (1m). Underdone by lingering greenness when third at Newmarket subsequently. Has more upside than the rest of these and may well make another successful return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 01/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m Sta 1331/1254 @ Windsor 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m31y Goo 1308/0644 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m Goo 13720/064projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Newmarket43rd4th−1
2026-06-08Windsor41st2nd−1
2025-12-01Kempton54th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/128/0620/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -14.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/20254th3/184%67%-0.18
08/06/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
20/06/20263rd8/1397%50%-0.47