4

Henlein

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 90

Ascot · Colliers Business Rates Experts Classified Stakes (Str) · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Smart runner-up in 1¼m Group 1 at Randwick in October 2024. No impact in handicaps for present yard since returning from an absence. A further 4 lb reprieve does see him drop into calmer waters here, though, and isn't one to totally give up on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 105 · 7f37y Goo 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 105 par25/042OR 1052 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 22nd of 28 · OR 104 · 1m GF 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 104 par17/062OR 1042 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR 100 · 1m1f197y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 100 par28/072OR 1002 @ Chester 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 96 · 7f127y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 96 par22/082OR 962 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 94 · 1m Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 94 par12/092OR 94projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster211th10th+1
2026-08-22Chester28th7th+1
2026-07-28Goodwood212th11th+1
2026-06-17Royal Ascot222th21th+1
2026-04-25Haydock27th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0417/0628/0722/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20267th40/10%45%+0.45
17/06/202622nd80/10%22%+0.22
28/07/202612th50/10%31%+0.31
22/08/20268th40/10%42%+0.42
12/09/202611th50/10%38%+0.38