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11

Princling

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 90

Ascot · Colliers Business Rates Experts Classified Stakes (Str) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Strong 2-y-o form prior to making a winning return at Wetherby in April. Couldn't repeat his fine 2½-length fifth in the Golden Gates (1½m) when turned out fairly quickly at Newmarket in July. Since given a break/gelded by his excellent yard (has won fresh) and fancied to go well over a stiff 1m.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 13/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 13013/1054 @ Newmarket 31/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 7f Gd 12831/1044 @ Wetherby 26/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 12826/0442 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 87 · 7f173y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 87 par30/052OR 872 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 91 · 1m1f212y GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 91 par20/062OR 912 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 91 · 1m2f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 91 par10/072OR 91projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Newmarket26th5th+1
2026-06-20Royal Ascot25th4th+1
2026-05-30Carlisle24th3rd+1
2026-04-26Wetherby41st2nd−1
2025-10-31Newmarket42nd3rd−1
2025-10-13Kempton52nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1031/1026/0430/0520/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%

Delivery trend -18.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/20252nd11/142%91%+0.49
31/10/20252nd5/287%93%+0.06
26/04/20261st1/499%100%+0.01
30/05/20264th2/189%77%-0.13
20/06/20265th10/147%73%+0.26
10/07/20266th5/287%0%-0.87