Suspicious Mindz
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 90
Ascot · Colliers Business Rates Experts Classified Stakes (Str) · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Ascot | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 7th | 13th | −5 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 01/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 54% | -0.25 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |