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6

The Angel King

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 90

Ascot · Colliers Business Rates Experts Classified Stakes (Str) · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual 7f winner in France for Francis-Henri Graffard. Back to his useful best for current yard with runner-up finishes on 2 of his last 3 starts, chasing home an in-form front runner at Sandown (7f) latest. Respected trying 1m for the first time in this sort of company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chantilly 30/09/2025 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 13130/09C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 19/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1342 @ Chantilly 12/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f101y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS12/0222 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 93 · 7f37y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 93 par2 @ Chester 06/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 92 · 7f127y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 92 par6/052OR 922 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 91 · 7f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 91 par2 @ Chester 02/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 89 · 7f1y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 89 par2/082OR 892 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 89 · 7f192y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Sandown 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 89 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 89 par11/093OR 89projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Sandown32nd2nd0
2026-08-20York211th10th+1
2026-08-02Chester22nd1st+1
2026-06-05Epsom Downs214th13th+1
2026-05-06Chester26th5th+1
2026-04-25Haydock210th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0925/042/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/202515th3/184%0%-0.84
19/10/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
12/02/20267th7/282%33%-0.48
25/04/202610th33/10%18%+0.18
06/05/20266th66/10%58%+0.58
05/06/202614th11/142%13%-0.29
02/08/20262nd22/10%89%+0.89
20/08/202611th33/10%23%+0.23
11/09/20262nd9/276%80%+0.04