6
Gone By
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 92
Ascot · BetMGM Noel Murless Stakes (Listed) · 1m 6f 34y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Newmarket | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ripon | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ascot | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 1/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 01/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |