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3

Guildmaster

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 98

Ascot · BetMGM Noel Murless Stakes (Listed) · 1m 6f 34y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lingfield novice winner on debut and useful form in defeat this year, eighth of 19 in the King George V Stakes here (1½m) at the Royal Meeting. Gelded prior to a below-par effort at this course last time, but he could bounce back now up in trip and switched to a visor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength18%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 22/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m1y Std 13322/1252 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m2f Gd 13716/0421 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m2f56y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 92 par14/051OR 922 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 19 · OR 100 · 1m3f211y GF 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 100 par18/062OR 1002 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 99 · 1m3f211y Goo 135 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 99 par5/092OR 99projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot27th8th−1
2026-06-18Royal Ascot28th9th−1
2026-05-14York17th7th+0
2026-04-16Newmarket23rd4th−1
2025-12-22Lingfield51st6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1216/0414/0518/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength24%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/12/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
16/04/20263rd10/382%50%-0.32
14/05/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
18/06/20268th33/10%61%+0.61
05/09/20267th12/137%25%-0.12