IvyArcIvyArc
11

Another Abbot

4yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 90

Ascot · BetMGM Handicap · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Better than ever when successful at Windsor in July and ran to similar level when creditable length second of 9 to Pilu in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, good, 9/1) 15 days ago, rallying. Respected.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 20/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 84 · 6f16y Std 134 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 84 par20/114OR 844 @ Chelmsford City 11/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 82 · 5f Std 134 · beat its mark11/12/2025 · OR 82 par4 @ Ascot 01/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 82 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 82 par1/054OR 824 @ Yarmouth 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 82 · 6f3y Goo 137 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 82 par3 @ Salisbury 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 88 · 6f Goo 135 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 88 par30/063OR 883 @ Ascot 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 88 · 6f GF 135 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 88 par3 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 86 · 6f12y GF 136 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 86 par27/073OR 862 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 90 · 6f12y GF 129 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 90 par3 @ Yarmouth 17/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 90 · 6f3y Gd 135 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 90 par17/093OR 90projClass-projected finish: 9th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Yarmouth32nd3rd−1
2026-08-10Windsor28th8th0
2026-07-27Windsor31st2nd−1
2026-07-10Ascot37th8th−1
2026-06-30Salisbury37th8th−1
2026-05-28Yarmouth41st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1128/0527/0717/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength49%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/202510th17/255%31%-0.24
11/12/20254th11/271%57%-0.14
01/05/20267th16/116%63%+0.47
28/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
30/06/20267th7/282%0%-0.82
10/07/20267th12/137%40%+0.03
27/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
10/08/20268th6/168%53%-0.15
17/09/20262nd9/153%88%+0.35