6
Bolo Neighs
4yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 92
Ascot · BetMGM Handicap · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
83%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Ascot | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ascot | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ascot | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 11/02/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 22% | -0.60 |
| 29/06/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 58% | -0.10 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |