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9

Goldmoyne

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 91

Ascot · BetMGM Handicap · 6f

#17

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet another fine advert for his yard, winning 6 times on all-weather between December and March. Has held his form well from higher marks on turf since, latest when close second of 23 in handicap (22/1) at Ayr (6f, heavy) 13 days ago. 3 lb higher now but ought to go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 88 · 7f Gd 129 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 88 par16/043OR 883 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 88 · 7f Goo 129 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 88 par4 @ Beverley 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 87 · 7f96y Goo 137 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 87 par30/054OR 874 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 87 · 7f6y GF 137 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 87 par2 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 88 · 7f GF 125 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 88 par4/072OR 883 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 88 · 7f Goo 128 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 88 par3 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 89 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 89 par29/073OR 892 @ Chester 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 89 · 7f127y Goo 126 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 89 par2 @ Ayr 19/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 23 · OR 89 · 6f Hvy 132 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 89 par19/092OR 89projClass-projected finish: 1st of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Ayr22nd2nd0
2026-08-22Chester26th6th0
2026-07-29Goodwood38th9th−1
2026-07-10York33rd4th−1
2026-07-04Newmarket22nd2nd0
2026-06-20Doncaster42nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0420/0629/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20269th9/153%53%+0.00
16/05/20265th12/137%60%+0.23
30/05/20264th4/179%70%-0.09
20/06/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27
04/07/20262nd10/147%89%+0.42
10/07/20263rd7/282%88%+0.06
29/07/20268th17/255%63%+0.08
22/08/20266th10/147%58%+0.11
19/09/20262nd22/10%95%+0.95