15
Intense Vision
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Ascot · BetMGM Handicap · 6f
#18
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | York | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 3 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 20th | 20th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Southwell | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 14-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/10/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/06/2026 | 20th | 50/1 | 0% | 34% | +0.34 |
| 30/07/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 21/08/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 13/09/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 31% | -0.35 |