18
Purest Time
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 82
Ascot · BetMGM Handicap · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 4 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ascot | 3 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chester | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Newcastle | 4 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 10-18 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/01/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/08/2026 | 15th | 12/1 | 37% | 7% | -0.30 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |