6
Amelia's Echo
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 68
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 01/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 57% | -0.35 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |