4
Dat Dares Right
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 55
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 11/04/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 25/05/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/06/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |