Icy Legs
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 61
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Belmont Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |