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9

Queen Sally

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 55

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength91%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Aqueduct 01/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 63 · 1m Gd 122 · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 63 par1/03C9OR 63C7 @ Aqueduct 29/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 73 · 7f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 73 parC5 @ Aqueduct 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 80 par18/04C5OR 80C5 @ Finger Lakes 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 75 · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 03/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 73 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 73 par3/06C5OR 73C5 @ Finger Lakes 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 74 · 1m Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 74 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 1m70y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 67 par14/07C5OR 67C5 @ Finger Lakes 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 66 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Saratoga 02/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 60 · 1m Slo 122 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 60 par2/09C8OR 60projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Saratoga?8th8th0
2026-07-28Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3
2026-07-14Finger Lakes?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-24Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3
2026-06-03Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3
2026-05-12Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0312/0514/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
29/03/20266th20/10%0%0.00
18/04/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
12/05/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
03/06/20263rd8/158%71%+0.14
24/06/20266th5/174%0%-0.74
14/07/20262nd11/271%80%+0.09
28/07/20265th15/890%20%-0.70
02/09/20268th33/10%22%+0.22