7
Successful Agenda
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 43
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -22.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 02/09/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |