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8

Empirical March

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 51

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readWELL IN
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength75%

What the class read says

Strong hidden class form — has met tougher company than today and the bare form doesn't fully capture it. Should find this level easier.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 12/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS12/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Saratoga?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20266th33/10%55%+0.55