Azizam
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 94
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
50%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | BHA105 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Keeneland | BHA105 | 6th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 31/07/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 31/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 63% | -0.20 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |