Diliello
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 85
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-11-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-10-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 26/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |