12
Epico
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 78
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 7f
#14
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |