Hong Kong Phooey

3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 74

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 7f

#13

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +0.2

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-20	Saratoga	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-07-30	Saratoga	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-06-27	Belmont At The Big A	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-06-14	Belmont At The Big A	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-05-25	Belmont At The Big A	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-03-27	Aqueduct	?	5th	4th	+1	6.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength38%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/10/2025	1st	15/8	90%	100%	+0.10
22/01/2026	3rd	11/2	71%	67%	-0.04
11/02/2026	5th	16/1	16%	33%	+0.18
27/03/2026	5th	14/1	26%	20%	-0.06
25/05/2026	4th	10/3	82%	40%	-0.42
14/06/2026	7th	16/1	16%	14%	-0.02
27/06/2026	4th	14/1	26%	40%	+0.14
30/07/2026	4th	16/1	16%	50%	+0.34
20/08/2026	4th	12/1	37%	57%	+0.20