King Puck
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 7f
#15
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-11-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-10-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2024 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 83% | -0.13 |
| 13/09/2024 | 7th | 10/11 | 95% | 14% | -0.81 |
| 19/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 07/11/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 01/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |