15

Printer's Alley

4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 91

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 31/08/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS31/08C6C6 @ Gulfstream 24/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 73 · 1m70y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/11/2024 · OR 73 par24/11C6OR 73C7 @ Saratoga 01/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2025 · OR 79 par1/09C7OR 79C6 @ Gulfstream 27/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 84 par27/02C6OR 84C6 @ Gulfstream 27/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 91 · 7f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 91 par27/03C6OR 91C8 @ Saratoga 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 87 par9/08C8OR 87C8 @ Saratoga 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 90 · 1m110y Yie 126 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 90 par2/09C8OR 90projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Saratoga?3rd3rd0
2026-08-09Saratoga?3rd3rd0
2026-03-27Gulfstream?6th4th+2
2026-02-27Gulfstream?3rd1st+2
2025-09-01Saratoga?4th3rd+1
2024-11-24Gulfstream?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0827/022/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength60%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20244th10/1195%63%-0.33
24/11/20241st3/184%100%+0.16
01/09/20254th15/261%70%+0.09
27/02/20263rd9/488%67%-0.21
27/03/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
09/08/20263rd5/174%80%+0.06
02/09/20263rd7/282%78%-0.04