5
Rossbeigh
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 82% | -0.12 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/11 | 98% | 78% | -0.20 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |