Cicciobello
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 93
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Belmont Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-02-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |