1
Frizzante
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 98
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |