8

Inexorable

7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 93

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength36%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Keeneland 08/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 99 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 99 par8/10C8OR 99C8 @ Churchill Downs 14/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 101 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 101 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 20/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 105 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 105 par20/12C5OR 105C6 @ Oaklawn Park 07/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 98 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/02/2026 · OR 98 parC8 @ Keeneland 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 104 · 6f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 104 par15/04C8OR 104C8 @ Churchill Downs 14/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 109 · 1m110y 118 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 109 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 10/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 106 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 106 par10/06C6OR 106C8 @ Saratoga 12/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 102 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 102 parC7 @ Saratoga 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 95 par4/09C7OR 95projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Saratoga?6th5th+1
2026-08-12Saratoga?7th7th0
2026-06-10Churchill Downs?5th3rd+2
2026-05-14Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-04-15Keeneland?1st1st0
2026-02-07Oaklawn Park?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/107/0210/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20252nd6/168%86%+0.17
14/11/20252nd13/266%86%+0.20
20/12/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
07/02/20266th20/10%44%+0.44
15/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
14/05/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
10/06/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
12/08/20267th3/184%0%-0.84
04/09/20266th25/10%17%+0.17