5

Khozeiress

6yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 96

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength85%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 21/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 103 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/09/2025 · OR 103 par21/09C6OR 103C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 28/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 103 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 103 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 26/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 101 · 6f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 101 par26/12C6OR 101C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 102 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 102 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 06/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 103 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 103 par6/03C6OR 103C0 @ Tampa Bay Downs 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f Fas 118C6 @ Monmouth Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 105 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 105 par13/06C6OR 105C6 @ Monmouth Park 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 102 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 102 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 100 · 1m70y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 100 par5/09C6OR 100projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Monmouth Park?4th2nd+2
2026-07-19Monmouth Park?2nd0th+2
2026-06-13Monmouth Park?4th2nd+2
2026-04-25Tampa Bay Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-03-06Tampa Bay Downs?4th2nd+2
2026-02-15Tampa Bay Downs?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0915/0213/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20257th10/147%33%-0.14
28/11/20254th20/10%63%+0.63
26/12/20255th9/153%20%-0.33
15/02/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71
06/03/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
25/04/20262nd7/163%83%+0.20
13/06/20264th3/184%40%-0.44
19/07/20262nd9/153%80%+0.27
05/09/20264th10/382%25%-0.57