Makes Sense
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 97
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-29 | Churchill Downs | BHA104 | 7th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-02-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-12-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 20/09/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |