My Noble Knight
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 96
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 73% | -0.19 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |