Tizmarkus
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 89
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |