6

Good Illusion

3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 72

Belmont Park · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 16/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f110y 11916/08C6C6 @ Aqueduct 10/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 74 · 1m 122 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 74 par10/01C6OR 74projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-10Aqueduct?4th4th0
2025-08-16Saratoga?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0810/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength14%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20258th25/10%13%+0.13
10/01/20264th12/137%50%+0.13