3
Gordy
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 74
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |