Capitol Hill
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 112
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Artie Schiller Stakes · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 06/09/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |