8
Clever Mischief
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 109
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Artie Schiller Stakes · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 07/12/2024 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 24/01/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |