Cosmic Year
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 112
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Artie Schiller Stakes · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
61%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Newmarket | 1 | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2025-08-01 | Goodwood | 1 | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2025-07-06 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2025 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 02/05/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 24/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 06/07/2025 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 01/08/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 86% | -0.11 |
| 05/07/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |