Intellect
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 114
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Artie Schiller Stakes · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
| 2025-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 24/04/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 05/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 05/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.11 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 4/5 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |