Silent Heart
5yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 112
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Artie Schiller Stakes · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-04-11 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2024 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 31/01/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/03/2025 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 11/04/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 31/05/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |