4
Sounds Like A Plan
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 107
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Artie Schiller Stakes · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | BHA104 | 2nd | 9th | −6 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |