7
Souper Forces
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 104
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Artie Schiller Stakes · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Gulfstream | BHA100 | 6th | 13th | −6 |
| 2025-11-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |