Amangani
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 102
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
68%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 13th | 9th | +3 |
| 2025-05-05 | Curragh | 1 | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2024-09-17 | Punchestown | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2024-09-03 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |
| 17/09/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/05/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 20/06/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |