15
Briland
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength16%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/04/2025 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |