Code
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 94
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |